Currently in Palestine, Texas
Witnessed three tornadoes near Baird, TX. One of those tornadoes was a large multi-vortex tornado along the forward flank of the supercell. Original target two days ago was around the Abilene, TX area. Forward-flank tornadoes are very difficult to deploy instruments on, as they often have unpredictable motions, and are short-lived (at least most of the time).
Witnessed one tornado southeast of Teague, TX yesterday. Storm initiated just southwest of the Dallas-Ft. Worth metroplex with fears of the storm tracking along the southern suburbs. Fortunately, the storm tracked south of Cleburne to Oakwood, totally missing large populated areas. Tracked the storm through Oakwood, and terminated the mission at dark.
Parameters are coming together for a significant tornado outbreak initiating within a Paris-Sulpher Springs-Mt. Pleasant, TX corridor. We struggle to find anything wrong with the forecast. Large sickle-shaped hodographs are suggested by the RUC south of the Red River with 0-1 KM EHI over 10. Its been a long time since we’ve seen such a perfect tornado forecast such as this.
Team plans to depart for the suggested corridor by 10:30 AM.
Perhaps another repeat of a tornado outbreak is likely in the Tennessee valley/Alabama area. Once again, it seems that everything is in place for another round of significant tornadoes beginning mid-late afternoon in the aforementioned area.
Next system should move across the midwest late this week, but difficult to evaluate due to model differences, and evolution(s) of current system.